Rashee Rice ranked ninth in yards per route run and seventh in PFF receiving grade last season (minimum 50 targets per PFF). He should be a top-five selection in 1QB leagues and top-10 in Superflex formats. Johnston should be drafted somewhere in the company of this class’s three other first-round wide receivers. Last year at TCU, Johnston ranked 23rd in deep receiving yards and 13th in deep receiving touchdowns (per PFF, minimum ten deep targets). In Dak Prescott‘s two full seasons under Moore, he finished five and seventh in deep ball attempts. Under new offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, this could be a bountiful role in 2023. Even with those two veterans on the field, Johnston should immediately be the team’s field stretcher. The combination of the aging body of Keenan Allen and the brittle joints of Mike Williams (which combined for 23 games played last year) could leave Johnston as Herbert’s defacto No. That is not too shabby for a wide receiver that had been rumored to possibly fall out of the first round of the NFL Draft. He also dealt with concentration drops at times.ĭynasty Outlook: Johnston is now tied to the rifle arm of Justin Herbert for the foreseeable future. He limped to 34.8% and 36.8% contested catch rates over the last two years. Considering his size, he needs to be stronger at the point of attack. Johnston’s physicality after the catch doesn’t show up at the catch point. His sloppiness with these routes allows corners to hang with him or close quickly. While Johnston can flip his hips easily, he needs to do a better job selling the vertical element. The same can be said for comebacks and curls. When he’s changing direction on posts and corners, he needs to do a better job selling the vertical stem. He ran primarily comebacks, gos and crossers toward daylight at TCU. While he won in college by running by corners, that won’t be as easy in the NFL. Johnston doesn’t consistently stack corners on nines. While his first step is explosive, allowing him to gain immediate separation on drive routes, he lacks the extra polish that could really make him shine. He still has plenty of development hurdles to cross to get there, though. 1 option in a passing game as an X receiver. Johnston has all the raw skills to fulfill his potential as a No. Johnston ranked 11th in missed tackles forced and sixth in YAC per reception last season (minimum 50 targets). His juice and his upper body strength make him a frustrating player for defenders to wrap up consistently. With his loose hips, he transitions from receiver to runner fluidly. Quentin Johnston has easy and immediate speed that jumps off the screen on film. Dynasty Rookie Draft Sleepers: QB | RB | WR | TE.Dynasty Rookie Primers: QB | RB | WR | TE.While you take that simulator for a spin to prepare for your dynasty rookie mock drafts, check out our latest dynasty rookie mock and analysis from our analysts. With the NFL Draft comes dynasty rookie draft season! We have you covered with our dynasty rookie draft coverage, and of course, you can complete fast and FREE dynasty rookie mock drafts using our mock draft simulator. Ready to go for the gold? In the Draft War Room you can adjust the weighting even heavier toward year-one projection in "Win Now" mode.The 2023 NFL Draft is in the books. That means you can use these values for ranking in the preseason, regular season, and trade valuations. The results are an unparalleled single (true) value you can use universally on the site. Period.ĭMVP+ values then apply a weighted average of those 1-,3-,5- and 10-year projections and a cross-positional algorithm based on your exact league setup and scoring. These are the smartest fantasy football projections on the market. And these numbers are specific to both positional groups and archetypes of players. We determine this output using scientifically-sound performance aging curves and retirement rates. Our process has been built using machine learning for all NFL data since 1999. Then we use 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year fantasy forecasted output. We start with a player's baseline, a weighted average of this year’s projection, and their last two seasons. You wouldn’t buy a house with a cracked or leaking basement, would you? No! The foundation for anything is critical.Īt Draft Sharks, our Dynasty Rankings are based on data-a lot of it. Off-the-cuff opinions from random guys on the internet are not the best foundation for creating Dynasty Rankings.
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